Box Office Forecast: ‘Grindelwald’ Poised to Take the Top Spot

The Winter blockbuster season is officially upon us. Last weekend, Illumination’s The Grinch easily took the number one spot as it debuted to a $67M purse. A reign that will be short-lived, though, as JK Rowling’s highly anticipated Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald hits theaters Thursday night, expecting to gather some major coin over the 3-day weekend. While the reviews haven’t been as favorable as its predecessor in 2016 – or any of the past Harry Potter movies for that matter – Grindelwald will still take the top spot this week quite handedly, with a domestic haul totaling in the $65-70M range.

Speaking of The Grinch, he’s back and hoping to cross the $100M mark, domestically, if he can steal at least $33M this weekend. Industry experts have the Christmas curmudgeon earning somewhere between $35M and $40M which should easily push it over the milestone number in just its second weekend.

There will be a bit of a battle to round out the top five as newcomers Instant Family and Widows look to cool off Bohemian Rhapsody. The Queen biopic is still going strong, despite mixed reviews from critics, and is expected to make close to $20M in its 3rd weekend at the box office.

Mark Wahlberg’s Instant Family has garnered healthy reviews from critics – currently sitting with a fresh 71% on Rotten Tomatoes – along with strong test screenings leading up to its release. The family comedy, co-starring Rose Byrne, is also expected to come in close to $20M as it enters the weekend deadlocked with Bohemian Rhapsody for the third spot, behind The Grinch. 

Lastly, Widows, the heist thriller, from Academy Award winning director Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave) and best-selling author Gillian Flynn (Gone Girl). This film features an all-star cast, led by Viola Davis, and is easily the best reviewed movie on this list – currently ‘certified fresh’ at 92% on Rotten Tomatoes with an 8.3/10 average rating. Widows will likely round out the top 5, earning somewhere between $12-18M.

Prediction: Top 5 Domestic Earners (11/16 – 11/18)

  1. Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald – $67.5M
  2. The Grinch – $38M
  3. Instant Family – $19M
  4. Bohemian Rhapsody – $16.5M
  5. Widows – $15.5M

Check back to see how these films are performing throughout the weekend.

Box office estimates from BoxOfficePro.

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